Photo: Farah Abdi Warsameh / AP / Scanpix al-Shabaab fighters during exercise in northern Mogadishu.
- We are now looking intently at what is happening in Sweden, said SAPO's chief analyst Johan Olsson.
According to the Security Service has some thirty young Swedes traveled down to Somalia to participate in combat or to get military training. Many of them have been recruited by al-Shabaab, a movement that violently struggling to take power in Somalia and establish a government based on strict interpretation of Islam.
Oranisationen is terror stamped by several countries. Al-Shabaab now controls parts of Somalia.
- Persons traveling to areas of conflict and then come back, a change in what we call intention and ability. They have both ended up in a context in which crimes and acts of war are fairly common and it has also often been an education, which means that potentially pose a greater threat when you come home, says Johan Olsson.
According to SAPO, the trend is to travel from Sweden to join the violent Islamist movements abroad increases. In addition to the thirty who had traveled to Somalia have additional few tens gone to other conflict areas to train and / or conflict. Al Shabaab also has supporters and sympathizers in Sweden involved in financing, organization and propaganda.
The most famous site, as a United Nations report indicates that al-Shabaabs, has long been available in Sweden and administered by a Muslim convert in Gothenburg.
On February 9, was a video on it, and other extreme Islamist pages posted on the Internet.
In the video, told al-Qaeda leader Ayman al Zawahiri to al-Shabaab now joined al-Qaeda to "support the holy war and unity against Zionists and Crusaders".
The video also contains a recording of al-Shabaabs leader Sheikh Abu Zubeyr, in which he swore allegiance to al Zawahiri, who took over the lead after Osama bin Laden's death in May last year. The two terror stamped organizations has already had ties to one another, but these are now formal.
- It is too early to be certain statement about what the merger between al-Qaeda and al-Shabaab really means. As with a corporate merger, it takes a while before you can see the results. So far, we should probably see this declaration, mostly as a rhetorical move. Perhaps combined with the Al Qaeda for some time is under great pressure, said Malena Rembe, who heads the National Center for terrorhotbedömning (NCT).
Also SAPO's chief analyst Johan Olsson believes it is too early to draw any conclusions.
- Our day consists of individual names, not by organizations. But we are of course interested to what extent one can see changes among these individuals that are linked to this rhetoric. It is a rhetoric that is all that they want to go in a more global reach. And it's obviously something that we watch carefully, if we actually see the change on the ground here in Sweden. That is the question that occupies our minds, says Johan Olsson.
What are you looking for?
- We look at the people we follow, if we notice any change in how they speak and how they act.
But you have not yet done?
- It is too early to draw any conclusions from this yet. This is not the organizations that rapidly effects the one key decision, but it takes a while for those involved in this discussed this and the result may be. It is not that something happens overnight.
What is the biggest problem with that there are supporters of al-Shabaab/al-Qaida in Sweden?
- What we are most worried about is of course primarily a crime is committed in Sweden and in the alternative that will finance and otherwise assist the terrorist incident in Somalia, says Johan Olsson.
Magnus Ranstorp, research director at the center of the asymmetric threat and terrorism studies at the National Defence College, have specially studied the al-Qaeda.
- Both parties are pretty tight. Al Zawahiri and Al Qaeda want to show the relevance especially in Libya and southern Algeria and Syria. Al-Shabaab has in addition to its local focus its headlights directed at Britain, which aims to seek a peace agreement in Somalia. But Swedish is concerned I do not think it is so important. We have already seen what it can create problems, says Magnus Ranstorp, referring to the threats and attempts on the artist Lars Vilks.
According to the Security Service has some thirty young Swedes traveled down to Somalia to participate in combat or to get military training. Many of them have been recruited by al-Shabaab, a movement that violently struggling to take power in Somalia and establish a government based on strict interpretation of Islam.
Oranisationen is terror stamped by several countries. Al-Shabaab now controls parts of Somalia.
- Persons traveling to areas of conflict and then come back, a change in what we call intention and ability. They have both ended up in a context in which crimes and acts of war are fairly common and it has also often been an education, which means that potentially pose a greater threat when you come home, says Johan Olsson.
According to SAPO, the trend is to travel from Sweden to join the violent Islamist movements abroad increases. In addition to the thirty who had traveled to Somalia have additional few tens gone to other conflict areas to train and / or conflict. Al Shabaab also has supporters and sympathizers in Sweden involved in financing, organization and propaganda.
The most famous site, as a United Nations report indicates that al-Shabaabs, has long been available in Sweden and administered by a Muslim convert in Gothenburg.
On February 9, was a video on it, and other extreme Islamist pages posted on the Internet.
In the video, told al-Qaeda leader Ayman al Zawahiri to al-Shabaab now joined al-Qaeda to "support the holy war and unity against Zionists and Crusaders".
The video also contains a recording of al-Shabaabs leader Sheikh Abu Zubeyr, in which he swore allegiance to al Zawahiri, who took over the lead after Osama bin Laden's death in May last year. The two terror stamped organizations has already had ties to one another, but these are now formal.
- It is too early to be certain statement about what the merger between al-Qaeda and al-Shabaab really means. As with a corporate merger, it takes a while before you can see the results. So far, we should probably see this declaration, mostly as a rhetorical move. Perhaps combined with the Al Qaeda for some time is under great pressure, said Malena Rembe, who heads the National Center for terrorhotbedömning (NCT).
Also SAPO's chief analyst Johan Olsson believes it is too early to draw any conclusions.
- Our day consists of individual names, not by organizations. But we are of course interested to what extent one can see changes among these individuals that are linked to this rhetoric. It is a rhetoric that is all that they want to go in a more global reach. And it's obviously something that we watch carefully, if we actually see the change on the ground here in Sweden. That is the question that occupies our minds, says Johan Olsson.
What are you looking for?
- We look at the people we follow, if we notice any change in how they speak and how they act.
But you have not yet done?
- It is too early to draw any conclusions from this yet. This is not the organizations that rapidly effects the one key decision, but it takes a while for those involved in this discussed this and the result may be. It is not that something happens overnight.
What is the biggest problem with that there are supporters of al-Shabaab/al-Qaida in Sweden?
- What we are most worried about is of course primarily a crime is committed in Sweden and in the alternative that will finance and otherwise assist the terrorist incident in Somalia, says Johan Olsson.
Magnus Ranstorp, research director at the center of the asymmetric threat and terrorism studies at the National Defence College, have specially studied the al-Qaeda.
- Both parties are pretty tight. Al Zawahiri and Al Qaeda want to show the relevance especially in Libya and southern Algeria and Syria. Al-Shabaab has in addition to its local focus its headlights directed at Britain, which aims to seek a peace agreement in Somalia. But Swedish is concerned I do not think it is so important. We have already seen what it can create problems, says Magnus Ranstorp, referring to the threats and attempts on the artist Lars Vilks.
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